Cristian Garin vs Matteo Arnaldi — Monte Carlo Masters Round of 64

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 64
Cristian Garin
CHI
Cristian Garin
#125ATP
1667ELO
1659Clay ELO
$365kYTD
$7.0MCAREER
30 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 5 April 2026
clay
Matteo Arnaldi
ITA
Matteo Arnaldi
#35ATP
1830ELO
1830Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
25 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWWWL
Garin C.
6-2 6-4
Arnaldi M.
Garin C.
662
Arnaldi M.
240

Cristian Garin defeated Matteo Arnaldi 6-2 6-4 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 64 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Matteo Arnaldi came in ranked #35, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending last year's round of 64. Cristian Garin claimed a first win over Matteo Arnaldi in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–1
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-15Davis Cup Finals RR: ITA vs CHIRRhardMatteo Arnaldi2-6 6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Garin C.serving71% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Arnaldi M.

Arnaldi M.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Garin C.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Garin C.Arnaldi M.
1st serve in·Even
60%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
50%
Service points won·Even
62%
58%
Return points won·Even
38%
40%
Break points saved·Even
57%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.7
3.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.9
4.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 14). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Garin C.Arnaldi M.
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
63
78
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Slight edge
45
51
Deciding sets·Even
83
86
Tiebreaks·Dominant
43
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Garin C.
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Arnaldi M.
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.4Clay Elo 1659
Surface ELO
5.6+172 Clay Elo edge
4.4Overall Elo 1667
ELO gap
5.6Overall Elo 1830
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.2
Surface form
4.6
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.3
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Garin C.Arnaldi M.
Freshness·
—
95

Arnaldi M.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CMainly clear
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 48%
Final
Sinner J.[2]
Alcaraz C.[1]
7-656-3
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Vacherot V.
6-46-4
Sinner J.[2]
Zverev A.[3]
6-16-4
Quarter-finals
Vacherot V.
De Minaur A.[5]
6-43-66-3
Sinner J.[2]
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
6-36-4
Alcaraz C.[1]
Bublik A.[8]
6-36-0
Zverev A.[3]
Fonseca J.
7-56-736-3
R16
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Ruud C.[9]
7-52-2
De Minaur A.[5]
Blockx A.
7-57-64
Fonseca J.
Berrettini M.
6-36-2
Vacherot V.
Hurkacz H.
6-746-36-4
Zverev A.[3]
Bergs Z.
6-27-5
Bublik A.[8]
Lehecka J.[11]
6-27-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-14-66-3
Sinner J.[2]
Machac T.
6-16-736-3
R32
Blockx A.
Cobolli F.[10]
6-36-3
Machac T.
Cerundolo F.[16]
7-626-3
De Minaur A.[5]
Norrie C.
7-652-66-2
Lehecka J.[11]
Tabilo A.
4-67-646-3
Auger Aliassime F.[6]
Cilic M.
7-646-3
Berrettini M.
Medvedev D.[7]
6-06-0
Bergs Z.
Rublev A.[13]
6-46-1
Bublik A.[8]
Monfils G.
6-46-4
Etcheverry T.
Atmane T.
3-66-36-2
Ruud C.[9]
Moutet C.
7-56-3
Hurkacz H.
Marozsan F.
6-26-3
Zverev A.[3]
Garin C.
4-66-47-5
Vacherot V.
Musetti L.[4]
7-667-5
Alcaraz C.[1]
Baez S.
6-16-3
Fonseca J.
Rinderknech A.
7-54-66-3
Sinner J.[2]
Humbert U.
6-36-0
R64
Berrettini M.
Bautista Agut R.
4-0
Rinderknech A.
Khachanov K.[12]
7-56-2
Moutet C.
Muller A.
6-46-1
Tabilo A.
Fucsovics M.
6-46-3
Cilic M.
Shevchenko A.
6-16-3
Hurkacz H.
Darderi L.[15]
7-645-76-1
Marozsan F.
Dzumhur D.
6-26-1
Baez S.
Wawrinka S.
7-57-5
Cobolli F.[10]
Comesana F.
7-52-66-3
Vacherot V.
Cerundolo J.
5-76-26-1
Cerundolo F.[16]
Tsitsipas S.
7-56-4
Fonseca J.
Diallo G.
6-26-3
Humbert U.
Kouame M.
6-37-5
Monfils G.
Griekspoor T.
6-776-16-4
Lehecka J.[11]
Nava E.
7-616-786-2
Ruud C.[9]
Popyrin A.
6-36-4
Rublev A.[13]
Borges N.
6-41-66-1
Norrie C.
Kecmanovic M.
6-24-67-60
Machac T.
Altmaier D.
6-41-66-3
Bergs Z.
Mannarino A.
6-46-3
Atmane T.
Quinn E.
6-16-4
Blockx A.
Shapovalov D.
6-44-66-3
Garin C.
Arnaldi M.
6-26-4
Etcheverry T.
Dimitrov G.
6-42-66-3