Frances Tiafoe vs Alexei PopyrinHouston Quarter-final

Houston · ATP · Quarter-final
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 30 March 2026
clay
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
Tiafoe F.
3-6 6-4 7-6
Popyrin A.
Tiafoe F.
36782
Popyrin A.
64661

Frances Tiafoe defeated Alexei Popyrin 3-6 6-4 7-6 in the Houston quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, defending last year's final. Frances Tiafoe extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-07Monte Carlo MastersR32clayAlexei Popyrin3-6 6-3 6-3
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Tiafoe F.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Popyrin A.serving87% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
31%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
55%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.7
10.8
Double faults / match·Even
1.3
1.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 15). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
83
59
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
57
6
Deciding sets·Clear edge
92
75
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
98
93

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+101 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Clay Elo 1727
7.0Overall Elo 1918
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1741
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
6.5
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
9.0
4.0
3-set count
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
72
97

Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d) · Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast