Alexei Popyrin vs Frances TiafoeMonte Carlo Masters Round of 32

Monte Carlo Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#103ATP
1741ELO
1727Clay ELO
$563kYTD
$9.7MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 7 April 2025
clay
#19ATP
1918ELO
1827Clay ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Popyrin A.
3-6 6-3 6-3
Tiafoe F.
Popyrin A.
3662
Tiafoe F.
6331

Alexei Popyrin defeated Frances Tiafoe 3-6 6-3 6-3 in the Monte Carlo Masters round of 32 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Frances Tiafoe came in ranked #19, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Alexei Popyrin claimed a first win over Frances Tiafoe in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-30HoustonQFclayFrances Tiafoe3-6 6-4 7-6(6)
2024-08-26US OpenR16hardFrances Tiafoe6-4 7-6(3) 2-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Popyrin A.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Popyrin A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
65%
Return points won·Even
33%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.9
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (54 vs 68). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
59
83
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
6
57
Deciding sets·Clear edge
75
92
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
93
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.8Clay Elo 1727
Surface ELO
6.2+101 Clay Elo edge
3.0Overall Elo 1741
ELO gap
7.0Overall Elo 1918
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
6.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.3
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
97
72

Popyrin A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
15°COvercast
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 46%