Mattia Bellucci vs Nicolas JarryMiami Masters Qualifying Round 1

Miami Masters · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 1
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
0 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 18 March 2026
hard
#211ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Bellucci M.
6-3 6-1
Jarry N.
Bellucci M.
662
Jarry N.
31

Mattia Bellucci defeated Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-1 in the Miami Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mattia Bellucci extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-18Miami MastersQ1hardMattia Bellucci6-3 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Jarry N.
0
Serve
40
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
61%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
50%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
35%
Break points saved·Even
59%
55%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.9
7.6
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.7
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
48
Break points saved·Even
96
98
Break points won·Slight edge
10
4
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
57
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
4.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.0+104 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.0Hard Elo 1574
5.4Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1648
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.3
Surface form
0.0
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 14
Fatigue & Travel
4.2
Minutes 14d
7.5
3-set count
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
100

Bellucci M.: 16 days rest. Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast