Mariano Navone vs Valentin RoyerCap Cana CH Quarter-final

Cap Cana CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#38ATP
1822ELO
1693Hard ELO
$722kYTD
$3.1MCAREER
25 yrs · 178 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 10 March 2026
hard
#75ATP
1641ELO
1585Hard ELO
$521kYTD
$1.6MCAREER
25 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Navone M.
6-2 7-6
Royer V.
Navone M.
6772
Royer V.
2650

Mariano Navone defeated Valentin Royer 6-2 7-6 in the Cap Cana CH quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Mariano Navone came in ranked #38. Mariano Navone claimed a first win over Valentin Royer in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR128hardValentin Royer3-6 6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Navone M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Royer V.

Royer V.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Navone M.

Serve advantage — Navone M.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Navone M.Royer V.
3
Serve
30
51
Return
20

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
71%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
64%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
59%
62%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
54%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
1.3
5.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.5
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 26). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
75
59
Break points saved·Slight edge
86
94
Break points won·Dominant
90
30
Deciding sets·Even
77
76
Tiebreaks·Even
60
62

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.8+108 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.2Hard Elo 1585
6.2Overall Elo 1822
ELO gap
3.8Overall Elo 1641
0.0
H2H
10.0
1.4
Surface form
1.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
9.2
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
94
51

Navone M.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Royer V.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 94 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast