Mattia Bellucci vs Adam WaltonCap Cana CH Semi-final

Cap Cana CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 10 March 2026
hard
#85ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWLLWWWL
Bellucci M.
6-3 7-5
Walton A.
Bellucci M.
672
Walton A.
350

Mattia Bellucci defeated Adam Walton 6-3 7-5 in the Cap Cana CH semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in ranked #67, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Mattia Bellucci extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR128hardMattia Bellucci7-6(6) 6-1
2024-07-22AtlantaQ2hardMattia Bellucci7-6(4) 3-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Walton A.
0
Serve
35
40
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
71%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
50%
55%
Service points won·Even
64%
65%
Return points won·Even
36%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
4.7
7.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.6
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 40). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
65
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
10
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
69

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.3+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1669
5.1Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1703
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
4.2
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
8.2
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
62

Bellucci M.: 18 days rest · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 64 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast