Mattia Bellucci vs Adam WaltonAtlanta Qualifying Round 2

Atlanta · ATP · Qualifying Round 2
#80ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 22 July 2024
hard
#79ATP
1703ELO
1669Hard ELO
$499kYTD
$2.3MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLLWWW
Bellucci M.
7-6 3-6 6-1
Walton A.
Bellucci M.
77362
Walton A.
64611

Mattia Bellucci defeated Adam Walton 7-6 3-6 6-1 in the Atlanta qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Mattia Bellucci came in leading the head-to-head 1–0. Mattia Bellucci extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Mattia Bellucci came through a tight passage before pulling clear — 7–6 3–6 6–1.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-01Shanghai MastersR128hardMattia Bellucci7-6(6) 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Walton A.

Walton A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Walton A.
0
Serve
35
40
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Even
64%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Even
63%
62%
Aces / match·Even
6.3
6.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (171 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
60
65
Break points saved·Even
96
95
Break points won·Slight edge
10
20
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
95
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
85
70

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
5.3+9 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.7Hard Elo 1669
5.1Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1703
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.7
Surface form
7.8
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
9.2
6.0
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Dominant
100
46

Bellucci M.: 20 days rest · Walton A.: 1 day rest · 5 matches, 122 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast