Mattia Bellucci vs Raphael CollignonCap Cana CH Quarter-final

Cap Cana CH · CHALLENGER · Quarter-final
#67ATP
1720ELO
1678Hard ELO
$587kYTD
$2.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 10 March 2026
hard
#43ATP
1894ELO
1837Hard ELO
$633kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWWLWW
Bellucci M.
6-4 6-2
Collignon R.
Bellucci M.
662
Collignon R.
420

Mattia Bellucci defeated Raphael Collignon 6-4 6-2 in the Cap Cana CH quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Raphael Collignon came in ranked #43. Mattia Bellucci extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-18HalleR16grassRaphael Collignon4-6 6-4 6-3
2023-07-03WimbledonQ2grassMattia Bellucci6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bellucci M.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Collignon R.

Collignon R.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Bellucci M.

Serve advantage — Collignon R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Bellucci M.Collignon R.
0
Serve
39
40
Return
32

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
72%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
40%
Break points saved·Even
58%
61%
Aces / match·Slight edge
4.9
5.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.6
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (32 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
60
73
Break points saved·Slight edge
96
90
Break points won·Dominant
10
55
Deciding sets·Even
81
80
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
85
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.7
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.7Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
7.3+159 Hard Elo edge
2.3Overall Elo 1720
ELO gap
7.7Overall Elo 1894
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.4
Surface form
8.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
100
97

Bellucci M.: 18 days rest · Collignon R.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast