Francesco Maestrelli vs Nicolas Jarry — Indian Wells Masters Qualifying Round 1

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Qualifying Round 1
Francesco Maestrelli
ITA13
Francesco Maestrelli
#128ATP
1538ELO
1551Hard ELO
$297kYTD
$881kCAREER
23 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLLWLL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 4 March 2026
hard
Nicolas Jarry
CHI
Nicolas Jarry
#211ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Maestrelli F.
6-4 4-6 7-6
Jarry N.
Maestrelli F.
64792
Jarry N.
46671

Francesco Maestrelli defeated Nicolas Jarry 6-4 4-6 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters qualifying round 1 on hard. The result followed the form book — Francesco Maestrelli came in ranked #128.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Maestrelli F.serving84% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Maestrelli F.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Maestrelli F.Jarry N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
71%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
49%
Service points won·Even
62%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.4
7.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.4
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Maestrelli F.Jarry N.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
56
48
Break points saved·Clear edge
83
98
Break points won·Slight edge
14
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
83
57
Tiebreaks·Even
79
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Maestrelli F.
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 23 days (−0.3)
Jarry N.
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1551
Surface ELO
5.1+23 Hard Elo edge
4.0Overall Elo 1538
ELO gap
6.0Overall Elo 1648
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
5.7
Surface form
1.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 10
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.4
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
4.2
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Maestrelli F.Jarry N.
Freshness·
94
—

Maestrelli F.: 10 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 3 km/hHumidity 11%
Q2
Prizmic D.[18]
Vukic A.[4]
6-26-4
Hijikata R.[15]
Buse I.[2]
3-66-36-4
Bonzi B.[9]
Mochizuki S.[16]
6-45-76-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Sweeny D.[23]
6-34-66-3
Galarneau A.
Barrios Vera T.[14]
6-36-4
Svrcina D.[19]
Kopriva V.[1]
7-646-4
Tseng C.
Burruchaga R.[6]
2-67-636-3
Mcdonald M.[17]
Svajda T.
6-46-2
Shimabukuro S.[22]
Landaluce M.
6-26-737-5
Schoolkate T.[11]
Ymer E.
6-43-1
Oconnell C.[10]
Basilashvili N.[24]
6-46-4
Maestrelli F.[13]
Tirante T.[3]
7-656-4
Q1
Galarneau A.
Van Assche L.[7]
7-666-4
Sweeny D.[23]
Johnson A.
6-26-1
Buse I.[2]
Draxl L.
6-47-63
Svrcina D.[19]
Krueger M.
7-666-4
Burruchaga R.[6]
Echargui M.
7-644-67-65
Vukic A.[4]
Travaglia S.
7-627-62
Tseng C.
Goffin D.[21]
6-46-1
Maestrelli F.[13]
Jarry N.
6-44-67-67
Mcdonald M.[17]
Sachko V.
6-26-1
Barrios Vera T.[14]
Leach J.
6-36-3
Landaluce M.
Blockx A.[5]
6-06-2
Ymer E.
Wong C.[20]
6-33-67-65
Svajda T.
Nardi L.[12]
4-67-626-3
Basilashvili N.[24]
Mejia N.
0-66-26-4
Oconnell C.[10]
Harris B.
6-46-3
Merida Aguilar D.
Kypson P.[8]
3-66-37-64
Shimabukuro S.[22]
Smith C.
7-657-5
Bonzi B.[9]
Pinnington Jones J.
6-36-4
Mochizuki S.[16]
Gomez F.
6-44-66-3
Hijikata R.[15]
Riedi L.
7-56-3
Kopriva V.[1]
Sakamoto R.
6-47-66
Prizmic D.[18]
Blanch D.
7-636-0
Tirante T.[3]
Ahmad I.
6-16-2
Schoolkate T.[11]
Bolt A.
3-67-646-4