Shuai Zhang vs Emma NavarroMerida Round of 16

Merida · WTA · Round of 16
#64WTA
1718ELO
1695Hard ELO
37 yrs · 177 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Zhang S.
6-4 6-4
Navarro E.
Zhang S.
662
Navarro E.
440

Shuai Zhang defeated Emma Navarro 6-4 6-4 in the Merida round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Navarro came in ranked #26, defending the title. Shuai Zhang extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Shuai Zhang edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-21StrasbourgQFclayEmma Navarro6-2 6.5-7.7 2-6
2025-10-06WuhanR64hardShuai Zhang6-2 2-6 6-3
2024-09-25BeijingR64hardShuai Zhang6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Zhang S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Zhang S.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Zhang S.Navarro E.
17
Serve
43
58
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
68%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
60%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
48%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
42%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
58%
51%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.6
1.7
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.9
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
62
90
Break points saved·Dominant
55
88
Break points won·Clear edge
83
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
93
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
82
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1695
Surface ELO
5.4+69 Hard Elo edge
4.2Overall Elo 1718
ELO gap
5.8Overall Elo 1866
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.1
Surface form
4.3
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.2
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
86

Zhang S.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Navarro E.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 49%