Jakub Mensik vs Hubert HurkaczDubai Round of 32

Dubai · ATP · Round of 32
#18ATP
1931ELO
1893Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#96ATP
1798ELO
1727Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
Mensik J.
6-4 7-6
Hurkacz H.
Mensik J.
6792
Hurkacz H.
4670

Jakub Mensik defeated Hubert Hurkacz 6-4 7-6 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #18. Jakub Mensik claimed a first win over Hubert Hurkacz in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-05-07Rome MastersR16clayHubert Hurkacz7-6(5) 4-6 7-6(5)
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-7(9) 6-1 5-7 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Mensik J.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Hurkacz H.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mensik J.Hurkacz H.
42
Serve
67
51
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
77%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
47%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
68%
Return points won·Even
37%
35%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Even
12.0
12.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.0
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (24 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
78
Break points saved·Even
98
100
Break points won·Dominant
77
40
Deciding sets·Even
92
94
Tiebreaks·Even
99
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+166 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Hard Elo 1727
6.4Overall Elo 1931
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1798
0.0
H2H
10.0
7.6
Surface form
5.3
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
5.7
Minutes 14d
8.6
4.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
72

Mensik J.: 10 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Hurkacz H.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 53 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%