Hubert Hurkacz vs Jakub MensikRome Masters Round of 16

Rome Masters · ATP · Round of 16
#68ATP
1798ELO
1762Clay ELO
$1.3MYTD
$20MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWLLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 7 May 2025
clay
#19ATP
1931ELO
1861Clay ELO
$2.0MYTD
$6.9MCAREER
20 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWWWL
Hurkacz H.
7-6 4-6 7-6
Mensik J.
Hurkacz H.
774772
Mensik J.
656651

Hubert Hurkacz defeated Jakub Mensik 7-6 4-6 7-6 in the Rome Masters round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Jakub Mensik came in ranked #19, defending last year's round of 128. Hubert Hurkacz extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiR32hardJakub Mensik6-4 7-6(7)
2024-01-15Australian OpenR64hardHubert Hurkacz6-7(9) 6-1 5-7 6-1 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Hurkacz H.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Mensik J.

Mensik J.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Hurkacz H.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
78%
78%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
49%
Service points won·Even
68%
66%
Return points won·Even
35%
36%
Break points saved·Even
67%
65%
Aces / match·Slight edge
11.4
12.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.6
4.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (42 vs 75). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
88
Break points saved·Even
100
98
Break points won·Dominant
40
77
Deciding sets·Even
94
92
Tiebreaks·Even
97
99

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
7.3
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.7Clay Elo 1762
Surface ELO
5.3+99 Clay Elo edge
3.6Overall Elo 1798
ELO gap
6.4Overall Elo 1931
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.8
Surface form
6.2
0.0Lost last 2
Win streak
7.03-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
9.1
Minutes 14d
6.7
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
76
88

Hurkacz H.: 8 days rest · 4 matches (14d) · Mensik J.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
17°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 75%