Andrey Rublev vs Ugo HumbertDubai Round of 16

Dubai · ATP · Round of 16
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Rublev A.
6-4 6-7 6-3
Humbert U.
Rublev A.
66562
Humbert U.
47731

Andrey Rublev defeated Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-7 6-3 in the Dubai round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 4–2, defending last year's round of 32. Andrey Rublev extended the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

  • Match story: Andrey Rublev closed it out in three sets, 6–4 6–7 6–3.

Head to head

42
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev6-2 6-3
2023-09-27BeijingR16hardUgo Humbert5-7 6-3 7-6(3)
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2021-06-14HalleFgrassUgo Humbert6-3 7-6(4)
2020-10-12St PetersburgR16hardAndrey Rublev4-6 6-4 7-5
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersQ2clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Rublev A.Humbert U.
55
Serve
64
52
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
39%
34%
Break points saved·Even
66%
68%
Aces / match·Slight edge
5.9
6.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.2
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
88
70
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
72
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
78
Tiebreaks·Even
92
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.4
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+5 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Hard Elo 1843
5.4Overall Elo 1902
ELO gap
4.6Overall Elo 1868
6.7
H2H
3.3
7.3
Surface form
5.1
7.03-match win streak
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.4
Minutes 14d
5.5
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
6.4
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
94
92

Rublev A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
26°CClear
Wind 6 km/hHumidity 53%