Ugo Humbert vs Andrey RublevBeijing Round of 16

Beijing · ATP · Round of 16
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 27 September 2023
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Humbert U.
5-7 6-3 7-6
Rublev A.
Humbert U.
56772
Rublev A.
73631

Ugo Humbert defeated Andrey Rublev 5-7 6-3 7-6 in the Beijing round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 5–1. Ugo Humbert narrowed the head-to-head to 5–2.

Key context

Head to head

15
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23DubaiR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-7(5) 6-3
2023-10-02Shanghai MastersQFhardAndrey Rublev6-2 6-3
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR32hardAndrey Rublev7-5 6-3
2021-06-14HalleFgrassUgo Humbert6-3 7-6(4)
2020-10-12St PetersburgR16hardAndrey Rublev4-6 6-4 7-5
2019-04-15Monte Carlo MastersQ2clayAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Humbert U.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Humbert U.Rublev A.
64
Serve
55
15
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.8
7.9
Double faults / match·Even
2.3
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
70
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Dominant
37
72
Deciding sets·Clear edge
78
97
Tiebreaks·Even
91
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 44 days (−0.7)
Form & Matchup
4.9Hard Elo 1843
Surface ELO
5.1+5 Hard Elo edge
4.6Overall Elo 1868
ELO gap
5.4Overall Elo 1902
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.1
Surface form
5.2
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
93

Humbert U.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
24°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 30%