Maria Timofeeva vs Maria Lourdes CarleMerida Qualifying Round 2

Merida · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#79WTA
1696ELO
1608Hard ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
0 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#218WTA
1484ELO
1459Hard ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWWLLW
Timofeeva M.
6-3 6-3
Carle M.
Timofeeva M.
662
Carle M.
33

Maria Timofeeva defeated Maria Lourdes Carle 6-3 6-3 in the Merida qualifying round 2 on hard. The result followed the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #79. Maria Timofeeva claimed a first win over Maria Lourdes Carle in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-05-20Roland GarrosSFclayMaria Lourdes Carle2-6 6-0 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Timofeeva M.serving49% hold

wins 50% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Carle M.serving33% hold

wins 43% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
66%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
57%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
39%
Service points won·Slight edge
57%
51%
Return points won·Even
49%
48%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
49%
Aces / match·Even
1.9
1.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.5
5.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (31 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
54
27
Break points saved·Dominant
76
26
Break points won·Even
96
97
Deciding sets·Even
59
55
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
20
5

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 35 days (−0.7)
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.2+148 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.8Hard Elo 1459
6.3Overall Elo 1696
ELO gap
3.7Overall Elo 1484
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.6
Surface form
4.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
95
88

Timofeeva M.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Carle M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast