Maria Lourdes Carle vs Maria Timofeeva — Roland Garros Qualifying Semi-final

Roland Garros · WTA · Qualifying Semi-final
ARG
Maria Lourdes Carle
#218WTA
1484ELO
1461Clay ELO
26 yrs · 166 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLWLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Wednesday, 20 May 2026 ·
clay
Maria Timofeeva
UZB24
Maria Timofeeva
#79WTA
1696ELO
1688Clay ELO
22 yrs · 167 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWWWW
Carle M.
2-6 6-0 6-4
Timofeeva M.
Carle M.
2662
Timofeeva M.
6041

Maria Lourdes Carle defeated Maria Timofeeva 2-6 6-0 6-4 in the Roland Garros qualifying semi-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Timofeeva came in ranked #79.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Carle M.serving39% hold

wins 46% of points on serve vs Timofeeva M.

Timofeeva M.serving57% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Carle M.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Carle M.Timofeeva M.
1st serve in·Even
64%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
57%
61%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
39%
48%
Service points won·Slight edge
50%
57%
Return points won·Even
48%
49%
Break points saved·Slight edge
49%
57%
Aces / match·Even
1.3
1.9
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.7
2.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (18 vs 32). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Carle M.Timofeeva M.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
27
54
Break points saved·Dominant
26
76
Break points won·Even
97
96
Deciding sets·Even
55
59
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
5
20

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Carle M.
4.4
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Timofeeva M.
7.2
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Back-to-back day (−0.5)
Form & Matchup
2.4Clay Elo 1461
Surface ELO
7.6+227 Clay Elo edge
2.5Overall Elo 1484
ELO gap
7.5Overall Elo 1696
0.0No prior meetings
H2H
10.0
5.6
Surface form
9.0
Win streak
7.04-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Carle M.Timofeeva M.
Freshness·Slight edge
90
96

Carle M.: 6 days rest · 2 matches, 38 games (7d) · Timofeeva M.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
19°CDrizzle
Wind 14 km/hHumidity 61%
Quarter-finals
Semi-finals
Final
Tararudee L.[1]
Papamichail D.
6-13-63-6
Bulgaru M.
Guo H.
5-70-6
Costoulas S.
Mrdeza T.
6-06-2
Hontama M.
Preston T.[19]
7-56-3
Kraus S.
Naef C.
7-53-66-2
Noha Akugue N.
Prozorova T.
7-57-62
Barthel M.
Friedsam A.
5-76-22-6
Gorgodze E.
Zidansek T.[22]
6-04-64-6
Krueger A.
Rouvroy M.
6-46-3
Giovannini L.
Guerrero Alvarez E.
6-06-2
Stoiana M.
Janicijevic S.
3-66-46-4
Jorge M.
Kalieva E.[28]
7-647-5
Vidmanova D.[4]
Gao X.
3-61-6
Tan H.
Thandi K.
6-16-0
Fruhvirtova L.
Havlickova L.
6-36-726-3
Ponchet J.
Hon P.[23]
7-56-2
Sun L.[5]
Ma Y.
2-66-36-2
Vandromme J.
Ito A.
5-75-7
Pigossi L.
Liu C.
1-61-6
Akli A.
Kawa K.[26]
2-66-74
Jimenez Kasintseva V.[6]
Pridankina E.
7-632-64-6
Inisan E.
Avdeeva J.
2-63-6
Von Deichmann K.
Garland J.
6-26-736-1
Leonard M.
Sakatsume H.[21]
1-60-6
Semenistaja D.[7]
Shymanovich I.
6-46-0
Zavatska K.
Zhao C.
6-26-1
Bronzetti L.
Lepchenko V.
6-24-67-67
Stefanini L.
Charaeva A.[18]
6-47-5
Chwalinska M.
Rame A.
6-06-3
Iatcenko P.
Monnet C.
4-66-46-74
Yaneva E.
Begu I.
6-23-64-6
Gjorcheska L.
Lamens S.[17]
4-63-6
Sherif M.
Lazaro Garcia A.
6-43-66-4
Knutson G.
Trevisan M.
6-20-62-6
Minnen G.
Gasanova A.
6-37-5
Klimovicova L.
Radivojevic L.[32]
3-64-6
Yuan Y.
Dart H.
7-54-62-6
Sanchez A.
Romero Gormaz L.
4-61-6
Stephens S.
Lee C.
6-36-2
Falei A.
Pigato L.[29]
1-63-6
Juvan K.[11]
Siskova A.
7-54-66-3
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Belgraver J.
6-46-1
Kostovic T.
Mandlik E.
6-26-2
Brancaccio N.
Quevedo K.
6-41-65-7
Salkova D.[12]
Podrez V.
6-26-4
Bandecchi S.
Paquet C.
2-67-56-4
Sebov K.
Hruncakova V.
0-66-73
Mpetshi Perricard D.
Andreescu B.[25]
3-62-6
Sramkova R.
Cross K.
6-46-0
Jorge F.
You X.
6-26-3
Masarova R.
Carle M.
3-66-43-6
Brace C.
Timofeeva M.[24]
1-63-6
Sasnovich A.[14]
Osuigwe W.
6-46-3
Day K.
Dodin O.
4-66-26-713
Monnot A.
Bassols Ribera M.
2-61-6
Ku Y.
Pliskova K.[20]
6-03-61-6
Korneeva A.
Hibino N.
6-37-63
Rus A.
Ortenzi J.
4-66-16-710
Riera J.
Samson L.
6-46-776-1
Montgomery R.
Inglis M.[31]
6-17-5
Kudermetova P.[16]
Koevermans A.
6-17-65
Burillo Escorihuela I.
Tomova V.
2-66-42-6
Kokkinis T.
S. Hunter
3-61-6
Mladenovic K.
Wang X.
3-61-6
Papamichail D.
Guo H.
2-66-78
Costoulas S.
Hontama M.
6-46-3
Kraus S.
Noha Akugue N.
6-756-07-5
Friedsam A.
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-4
Krueger A.
Giovannini L.
6-46-3
Stoiana M.
Jorge M.
6-46-4
Gao X.
Tan H.
3-67-53-6
Fruhvirtova L.
Ponchet J.
6-16-4
Sun L.[5]
Ito A.
6-36-3
Liu C.
Kawa K.[26]
6-36-0
Pridankina E.
Avdeeva J.
7-56-1
Von Deichmann K.
Sakatsume H.[21]
3-66-23-6
Semenistaja D.[7]
Zavatska K.
5-77-52-6
Bronzetti L.
Stefanini L.
6-46-1
Chwalinska M.
Monnet C.
6-06-1
Begu I.
Lamens S.[17]
4-67-673-6
Sherif M.
Trevisan M.
6-767-56-1
Minnen G.
Radivojevic L.[32]
6-16-2
Dart H.
Romero Gormaz L.
1-64-6
Stephens S.
Pigato L.[29]
6-46-1
Juvan K.[11]
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
4-64-6
Kostovic T.
Quevedo K.
6-736-32-6
Salkova D.[12]
Bandecchi S.
3-66-45-7
Hruncakova V.
Andreescu B.[25]
6-726-46-4
Sramkova R.
Jorge F.
6-36-4
Carle M.
Timofeeva M.[24]
2-66-06-4
Sasnovich A.[14]
Dodin O.
6-16-0
Bassols Ribera M.
Pliskova K.[20]
6-36-2
Korneeva A.
Ortenzi J.
4-66-46-2
Riera J.
Montgomery R.
2-66-26-1
Kudermetova P.[16]
Tomova V.
7-626-756-3
S. Hunter
Wang X.
2-65-7
Guo H.
Costoulas S.
6-36-4
Kraus S.
Friedsam A.
6-16-1
Krueger A.
Stoiana M.
6-746-36-1
Tan H.
Fruhvirtova L.
3-66-74
Sun L.[5]
Liu C.
1-60-6
Pridankina E.
Sakatsume H.[21]
6-26-1
Zavatska K.
Bronzetti L.
6-36-740-3
Chwalinska M.
Lamens S.[17]
7-647-5
Sherif M.
Minnen G.
6-36-0
Romero Gormaz L.
Stephens S.
6-32-61-6
Maristany Zuleta De Reales G.
Quevedo K.
6-34-63-6
Bandecchi S.
Hruncakova V.
6-16-2
Sramkova R.
Carle M.
6-45-76-2
Sasnovich A.[14]
Bassols Ribera M.
6-745-7
Korneeva A.
Riera J.
6-36-2
Kudermetova P.[16]
Wang X.
3-63-6