Emiliana Arango vs Anastasia PotapovaMerida Round of 32

Merida · WTA · Round of 32
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 23 February 2026
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Arango E.
7-6 6-2
Potapova A.
Arango E.
7762
Potapova A.
6020

Emiliana Arango defeated Anastasia Potapova 7-6 6-2 in the Merida round of 32 on hard. Emiliana Arango extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-18GuadalajaraR64hardEmiliana Arango6-4 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving58% hold

wins 53% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving70% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Potapova A.
0
Serve
11
62
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
70%
58%
1st serve points won·Clear edge
55%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
45%
44%
Service points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Return points won·Even
44%
45%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
0.7
3.4
Double faults / match·Dominant
2.3
5.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (15 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
81
Break points saved·Dominant
56
89
Break points won·Slight edge
81
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.3
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
7.6+228 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1904
10.0
H2H
0.0
0.8
Surface form
4.8
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
85
98

Arango E.: 3 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
23°CMainly clear
Wind 22 km/hHumidity 49%