Emiliana Arango vs Anastasia PotapovaGuadalajara Round of 64

Guadalajara · WTA · Round of 64
#97WTA
1624ELO
1576Hard ELO
25 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLLWWWLLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 18 September 2023
hard
#28WTA
1904ELO
1804Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$6.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 175 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLWWWLW
Arango E.
6-4 6-3
Potapova A.
Arango E.
662
Potapova A.
430

Emiliana Arango defeated Anastasia Potapova 6-4 6-3 in the Guadalajara round of 64 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Anastasia Potapova came in ranked #28, defending last year's round of 16. Emiliana Arango extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-23MeridaR32hardEmiliana Arango7-6(0) 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Arango E.serving60% hold

wins 54% of points on serve vs Potapova A.

Potapova A.serving64% hold

wins 56% of points on serve vs Arango E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Arango E.Potapova A.
0
Serve
11
62
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Clear edge
69%
56%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
58%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
42%
46%
Service points won·Even
53%
56%
Return points won·Even
46%
45%
Break points saved·Even
53%
57%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.0
2.4
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.5
4.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (168 vs 164). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
57
81
Break points saved·Dominant
56
89
Break points won·Slight edge
81
88
Deciding sets·Dominant
70
96
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
57

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.3
Heavy underdogUmpiry ScorePartial · surface data limited
  • Extended break: 49 days (−0.7)
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1576
Surface ELO
7.6+228 Hard Elo edge
2.0Overall Elo 1624
ELO gap
8.0Overall Elo 1904
5.0
H2H
5.0
Surface form
5.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.8
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
99

Arango E.: 4 days rest · 2 matches, 33 games (7d) · Potapova A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast

Draw