Tommy Paul vs Corentin MoutetDelray Beach Round of 32

Delray Beach · ATP · Round of 32
#25ATP
1949ELO
1881Hard ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#39ATP
1745ELO
1727Hard ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Paul T.
4-6 6-3 6-4
Moutet C.
Paul T.
4662
Moutet C.
6341

Tommy Paul defeated Corentin Moutet 4-6 6-3 6-4 in the Delray Beach round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-07-29Paris OlympicsR16clayTommy Paul7-6(5) 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving77% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Paul T.Moutet C.
71
Serve
7
54
Return
68

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
65%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
57%
49%
Service points won·Slight edge
69%
59%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
63%
52%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.8
2.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.4
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (25 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
82
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
87
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
6.4+154 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1727
6.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.1
Surface form
5.1
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
86
95

Paul T.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Moutet C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast