Tommy Paul vs Corentin MoutetParis Olympics Round of 16

Paris Olympics · ATP · Round of 16
#24ATP
1949ELO
1886Clay ELO
$1.7MYTD
$15MCAREER
29 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 29 July 2024
clay
#40ATP
1745ELO
1692Clay ELO
$731kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
27 yrs · 180 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWLLLLLL
Paul T.
7-6 6-3
Moutet C.
Paul T.
7762
Moutet C.
6530

Tommy Paul defeated Corentin Moutet 7-6 6-3 in the Paris Olympics round of 16 on clay. The result followed the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #24, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Tommy Paul extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Tommy Paul closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–3.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachR32hardTommy Paul4-6 6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Paul T.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Moutet C.

Moutet C.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Paul T.

Serve advantage — Paul T.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Paul T.Moutet C.
34
Serve
Return
61

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
61%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
73%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
51%
Service points won·Even
66%
62%
Return points won·Even
40%
40%
Break points saved·Even
65%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
2.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.9
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (130 vs 141). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
93
82
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Clear edge
87
75
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
78

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 42 days (−0.7)
  • Surface jump clay↔grass (−0.8)
Form & Matchup
6.6+194 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Clay Elo 1692
6.5Overall Elo 1949
ELO gap
3.5Overall Elo 1745
5.0
H2H
5.0
7.1
Surface form
5.7
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
3.0
Surface transition
3.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
88
96

Paul T.: 10 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Moutet C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast

Draw