Sebastian Korda vs Casper RuudDelray Beach Quarter-final

Delray Beach · ATP · Quarter-final
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 February 2026
hard
#13ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
Korda S.
4-6 6-2 6-2
Ruud C.
Korda S.
4662
Ruud C.
6221

Sebastian Korda defeated Casper Ruud 4-6 6-2 6-2 in the Delray Beach quarter-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Sebastian Korda claimed a first win over Casper Ruud in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-13StockholmQFhardCasper Ruud6-7(5) 6-4 6-4
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Korda S.serving93% hold

wins 72% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Ruud C.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Korda S.Ruud C.
61
Serve
59
58
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
62%
68%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
79%
72%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
52%
57%
Service points won·Even
69%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
35%
Break points saved·Clear edge
57%
74%
Aces / match·Clear edge
9.1
7.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
87
91
Break points saved·Even
98
99
Break points won·Even
73
75
Deciding sets·Even
96
99
Tiebreaks·Even
94
97

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.8
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
5.2Hard Elo 1765
Surface ELO
4.8+124 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1809
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1983
4.6
H2H
5.4
7.4
Surface form
5.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.2
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
4.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
98

Ruud C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast