Casper Ruud vs Sebastian KordaStockholm Quarter-final

Stockholm · ATP · Quarter-final
#12ATP
1983ELO
1889Hard ELO
$2.0MYTD
$29MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWLWWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 13 October 2025
hard
#63ATP
1809ELO
1765Hard ELO
$471kYTD
$9.0MCAREER
26 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWWW
Ruud C.
6-7 6-4 6-4
Korda S.
Ruud C.
65662
Korda S.
77441

Casper Ruud defeated Sebastian Korda 6-7 6-4 6-4 in the Stockholm quarter-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Casper Ruud came in ranked #12, defending last year's quarter-final. Casper Ruud extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Delray BeachQFhardSebastian Korda4-6 6-2 6-2
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR32clayCasper Ruud6-3 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Ruud C.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Korda S.

Korda S.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Ruud C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruud C.Korda S.
59
Serve
61
31
Return
58

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
53%
Service points won·Even
66%
67%
Return points won·Even
37%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.0
9.0
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (70 vs 63). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
91
87
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
75
73
Deciding sets·Even
99
96
Tiebreaks·Even
97
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
4.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8+124 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
5.2Hard Elo 1765
5.2Overall Elo 1983
ELO gap
4.8Overall Elo 1809
0.0
H2H
10.0
5.7
Surface form
5.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.7
Minutes 14d
9.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
7.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
97

Ruud C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
7°COvercast
Wind 16 km/hHumidity 70%