Elena Gabriela Ruse vs Peyton StearnsDubai Qualifying Round 2

Dubai · CHALLENGER · Qualifying Round 2
#71WTA
1850ELO
1754Hard ELO
28 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#63WTA
1804ELO
1755Hard ELO
$476kYTD
$3.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 173 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLL
Ruse E.
6-2 4-6 6-4
Stearns P.
Ruse E.
6462
Stearns P.
2641

Elena Gabriela Ruse defeated Peyton Stearns 6-2 4-6 6-4 in the Dubai qualifying round 2 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Peyton Stearns came in ranked #63.

Key context

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Ruse E.serving63% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Stearns P.

Stearns P.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Ruse E.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Ruse E.Stearns P.
0
Serve
34
32
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
56%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
66%
67%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
46%
Service points won·Even
58%
58%
Return points won·Even
43%
43%
Break points saved·Even
52%
53%
Aces / match·Even
4.0
4.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.9
4.1

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (21 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
66
73
Break points saved·Clear edge
72
90
Break points won·Even
98
98
Deciding sets·Dominant
97
51
Tiebreaks·Dominant
5
90

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 27 days (−0.3)
6.3
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.8Hard Elo 1754
Surface ELO
5.2+1 Hard Elo edge
5.1Overall Elo 1850
ELO gap
4.9Overall Elo 1804
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
6.7
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
8.7
3-set count
7.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Ruse E.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Stearns P.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast