Elise Mertens vs Emma NavarroDubai Round of 32

Dubai · WTA · Round of 32
#27WTA
1894ELO
1847Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$19MCAREER
30 yrs · 179 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWLWLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 15 February 2026
hard
#26WTA
1866ELO
1764Hard ELO
$675kYTD
$6.3MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWW
Mertens E.
6-2 6-2
Navarro E.
Mertens E.
662
Navarro E.
220

Elise Mertens defeated Emma Navarro 6-2 6-2 in the Dubai round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Emma Navarro came in ranked #26, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 16. Elise Mertens claimed a first win over Emma Navarro in three meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

02
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-02-12DohaR32hardEmma Navarro6-1 6-3
2024-01-08HobartFhardEmma Navarro6-1 4-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Mertens E.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Navarro E.

Navarro E.serving70% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Mertens E.

Serve advantage — Mertens E.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Mertens E.Navarro E.
51
Serve
43
54
Return
43

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
68%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
48%
Service points won·Even
60%
59%
Return points won·Even
46%
42%
Break points saved·Even
51%
53%
Aces / match·Clear edge
3.9
1.9
Double faults / match·Even
3.7
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (12 vs 13). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
90
Break points saved·Even
90
88
Break points won·Even
96
99
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
93
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
75
87

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+84 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1764
6.6Overall Elo 1894
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1866
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.7
Surface form
3.9
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.3
Minutes 14d
6.6
3-set count
4.0
8.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
74
83

Mertens E.: 3 days rest · 3 matches, 61 games (7d) · Navarro E.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 25 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
29°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 24%

Draw