Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar KovacevicDallas Round of 16

Dallas · ATP · Round of 16
#41ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Shapovalov D.
6-4 6-4
Kovacevic A.
Shapovalov D.
662
Kovacevic A.
440

Denis Shapovalov defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-4 in the Dallas round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #41, leading the head-to-head 1–0, defending the title. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

  • Match story: Denis Shapovalov edged a tight contest from start to finish — 6–4 6–4.

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-14Los CabosFhardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Kovacevic A.
25
Serve
52
70
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
62%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
55%
Service points won·Slight edge
63%
68%
Return points won·Even
36%
32%
Break points saved·Slight edge
57%
63%
Aces / match·Dominant
6.1
11.2
Double faults / match·Clear edge
4.4
3.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (16 vs 28). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
53
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
71
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
61

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+164 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1611
7.4Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1636
10.0
H2H
0.0
4.4
Surface form
4.4
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
5.7
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
95

Shapovalov D.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kovacevic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast