Denis Shapovalov vs Aleksandar KovacevicLos Cabos Final

Los Cabos · ATP · Final
#39ATP
1771ELO
1775Hard ELO
$749kYTD
$15MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLLLLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 14 July 2025
hard
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
Shapovalov D.
6-4 6-2
Kovacevic A.
Shapovalov D.
662
Kovacevic A.
420

Denis Shapovalov defeated Aleksandar Kovacevic 6-4 6-2 in the Los Cabos final on hard. The result followed the form book — Denis Shapovalov came in ranked #39, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Denis Shapovalov extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-09DallasR16hardDenis Shapovalov6-4 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Shapovalov D.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Kovacevic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Shapovalov D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Shapovalov D.Kovacevic A.
25
Serve
52
70
Return
0

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
58%
60%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
51%
Service points won·Even
63%
66%
Return points won·Even
37%
34%
Break points saved·Even
59%
60%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.7
8.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
5.8
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (62 vs 93). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
85
53
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Dominant
71
4
Deciding sets·Slight edge
92
81
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
84
60

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.5
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.4+164 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.6Hard Elo 1611
7.4Overall Elo 1771
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1636
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.3
Surface form
6.3
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
8.5
Minutes 14d
7.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
2.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
98
97

Shapovalov D.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Kovacevic A.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast