Alex De Minaur vs Ugo HumbertRotterdam Semi-final

Rotterdam · ATP · Semi-final
#6ATP
1961ELO
1935Hard ELO
$2.4MYTD
$25MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLWWLWW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
hard
#30ATP
1868ELO
1843Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
De Minaur A.
6-4 6-3
Humbert U.
De Minaur A.
662
Humbert U.
430

Alex De Minaur defeated Ugo Humbert 6-4 6-3 in the Rotterdam semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Alex De Minaur came in ranked #6, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's final. Alex De Minaur extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-06-10s HertogenboschSFgrassAlex De Minaur7-6(4) 6-3
2023-09-14Davis Cup Finals RR: AUS vs FRARRhardAlex De Minaur7-6(2) 6-3
2023-07-24AtlantaQFhardUgo Humbert7-6(4) 6-3
2022-05-16LyonR16clayAlex De Minaur1-6 6-3 6-2
2022-04-18BarcelonaR32clayAlex De Minaur6-3 4-6 6-3
2022-01-03Atp CupRRhardAlex De Minaur3-6 7-6(2) 6-1
2020-10-19AntwerpFhardUgo Humbert6-1 7-6(4)

Serve vs return

This season
De Minaur A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Humbert U.

Humbert U.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs De Minaur A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

De Minaur A.Humbert U.
48
Serve
64
80
Return
15

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
57%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
76%
2nd serve points won·Even
55%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
34%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
70%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.4
7.4
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.8
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
95
70
Break points saved·Even
99
99
Break points won·Dominant
97
37
Deciding sets·Clear edge
97
78
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
91

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+92 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1843
6.6Overall Elo 1961
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1868
5.4
H2H
4.6
7.4
Surface form
5.2
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
7.6
3-set count
7.0
4.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
77
92

De Minaur A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 34 games (7d) · Humbert U.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
3°COvercast
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 97%