Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao FonsecaBuenos Aires Round of 16

Buenos Aires · ATP · Round of 16
#33ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 9 February 2026
clay
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Tabilo A.
6-3 3-6 7-5
Fonseca J.
Tabilo A.
6372
Fonseca J.
3651

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Joao Fonseca 6-3 3-6 7-5 in the Buenos Aires round of 16 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27, defending the title. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13MunichR32clayJoao Fonseca7-6(1) 6-3
2024-04-15BucharestQFclayAlejandro Tabilo4-6 7-6(5) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tabilo A.Fonseca J.
83
Serve
65
33
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
56%
Service points won·Even
67%
67%
Return points won·Even
38%
36%
Break points saved·Even
65%
66%
Aces / match·Even
5.5
5.1
Double faults / match·Even
1.5
1.6

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 17). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
76
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
59
43
Deciding sets·Even
91
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1781
Surface ELO
5.4+75 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1928
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.1
Surface form
4.9
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
4.7
Minutes 14d
0.0
3-set count
Prev. match
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
88

Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fonseca J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 10 km/hHumidity 39%