Alejandro Tabilo vs Joao FonsecaBucharest Quarter-final

Bucharest · ATP · Quarter-final
#33ATP
1819ELO
1781Clay ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 15 April 2024
clay
#27ATP
1928ELO
1856Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Tabilo A.
4-6 7-6 6-4
Fonseca J.
Tabilo A.
47762
Fonseca J.
66541

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Joao Fonseca 4-6 7-6 6-4 in the Bucharest quarter-final on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Joao Fonseca came in ranked #27. Alejandro Tabilo extended the head-to-head to 2–1.

Key context

Head to head

11
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-04-13MunichR32clayJoao Fonseca7-6(1) 6-3
2026-02-09Buenos AiresR16clayAlejandro Tabilo6-3 3-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Tabilo A.Fonseca J.
83
Serve
65
33
Return
28

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
62%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.8
5.6
Double faults / match·Even
2.0
2.0

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (152 vs 129). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
76
Break points saved·Even
97
97
Break points won·Clear edge
59
43
Deciding sets·Even
91
89
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Clay Elo 1781
Surface ELO
5.4+75 Clay Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.5
Surface form
5.9
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
5.2
3-set count
0.0
8.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
96
88

Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Fonseca J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast