Maria Sakkari vs Varvara GrachevaDoha Round of 16

Doha · WTA · Round of 16
#43WTA
1812ELO
1796Hard ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 8 February 2026
hard
#88WTA
1810ELO
1763Hard ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWWW
Sakkari M.
7-6 6-0
Gracheva V.
Sakkari M.
7762
Gracheva V.
6300

Maria Sakkari defeated Varvara Gracheva 7-6 6-0 in the Doha round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 32. Maria Sakkari extended the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

21
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-05-27Roland GarrosR128clayVarvara Gracheva3-6 6-4 6-3
2024-05-06RomeR64clayMaria Sakkari6-2 6-2
2023-02-06LinzR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Sakkari M.serving73% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Gracheva V.serving75% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sakkari M.Gracheva V.
24
Serve
3
39
Return
27

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
62%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
46%
46%
Service points won·Even
57%
57%
Return points won·Even
41%
42%
Break points saved·Slight edge
64%
59%
Aces / match·Slight edge
1.5
2.7
Double faults / match·Dominant
1.7
4.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (10 vs 12). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
80
74
Break points saved·Clear edge
94
76
Break points won·Even
87
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
76
90
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
83
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
6.5
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.5+33 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.5Hard Elo 1763
5.3Overall Elo 1812
ELO gap
4.7Overall Elo 1810
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.0
Surface form
5.3
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·
84

Sakkari M.: 5 days rest · 2 matches, 43 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
28°CClear
Wind 11 km/hHumidity 39%

Draw