Varvara Gracheva vs Maria Sakkari — Roland Garros Round of 128

Roland Garros · WTA · Round of 128
Varvara Gracheva
FRA
Varvara Gracheva
#88WTA
1810ELO
1701Clay ELO
25 yrs · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 May 2024
clay
Maria Sakkari
GRE6
Maria Sakkari
#43WTA
1812ELO
1754Clay ELO
$901kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 172 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLLWWLL
Gracheva V.
3-6 6-4 6-3
Sakkari M.
Gracheva V.
3662
Sakkari M.
6431

Varvara Gracheva defeated Maria Sakkari 3-6 6-4 6-3 in the Roland Garros round of 128 on clay. The upset overturned the form book — Maria Sakkari came in ranked #43, leading the head-to-head 3–0, defending last year's round of 128. Varvara Gracheva claimed a first win over Maria Sakkari in four meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 3–1.

Key context

Head to head

0–3
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-08DohaR16hardMaria Sakkari7-6(3) 6-0
2024-05-06RomeR64clayMaria Sakkari6-2 6-2
2023-02-06LinzR16hardMaria Sakkari6-4 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Gracheva V.serving67% hold

wins 57% of points on serve vs Sakkari M.

Sakkari M.serving69% hold

wins 58% of points on serve vs Gracheva V.

Baseline battle — serve is shaky, expect plenty of breaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
Gracheva V.Sakkari M.
1st serve in·Even
63%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
61%
65%
2nd serve points won·Even
47%
47%
Service points won·Even
56%
58%
Return points won·Even
44%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
52%
58%
Aces / match·Slight edge
2.0
3.0
Double faults / match·Even
3.4
3.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (126 vs 101). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Gracheva V.Sakkari M.
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
74
81
Break points saved·Clear edge
76
94
Break points won·Even
87
87
Deciding sets·Clear edge
90
76
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
65
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Gracheva V.
4.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Sakkari M.
7.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.2Clay Elo 1701
Surface ELO
5.8+53 Clay Elo edge
4.7Overall Elo 1810
ELO gap
5.3Overall Elo 1812
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.5
Surface form
7.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
3-set count
Prev. match
9.0
7.0
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Gracheva V.Sakkari M.
Freshness·
—
90

Sakkari M.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast
Weather
16°CDrizzle
Wind 13 km/hHumidity 63%

Draw

Final
Swiatek I.[3]
Paolini J.[13]
6-26-1
Semi-finals
Swiatek I.[3]
Gauff C.[4]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreeva M.[8]
6-36-1
Quarter-finals
Gauff C.[4]
Jabeur O.[8]
4-66-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Vondrousova M.[5]
6-06-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Sabalenka A.[1]
6-756-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Rybakina E.[2]
6-24-66-4
R16
Gauff C.[4]
Cocciaretto E.
6-16-2
Swiatek I.[3]
Potapova A.[28]
6-06-0
Sabalenka A.[1]
Navarro E.[22]
6-26-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Svitolina E.[7]
6-46-3
Vondrousova M.[5]
Danilovic O.
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Gracheva V.
7-56-2
Jabeur O.[8]
Tauson C.[21]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Avanesyan E.
4-66-06-1
R32
Gauff C.[4]
Yastremska D.[30]
6-26-4
Paolini J.[13]
Andreescu B.[25]
6-13-66-0
Vondrousova M.[5]
Paquet C.
6-16-3
Avanesyan E.
Zheng Q.[7]
3-66-37-66
Jabeur O.[8]
Fernandez L.[24]
6-47-65
Rybakina E.[2]
Mertens E.[23]
6-46-2
Navarro E.[22]
Keys M.[19]
7-657-63
Swiatek I.[3]
Bouzkova M.[27]
6-46-2
Potapova A.[28]
Wang X.
7-56-766-4
Danilovic O.
Vekic D.
0-67-57-68
Tauson C.[21]
Kenin S.
6-27-5
Gracheva V.
Begu I.
7-56-3
Svitolina E.[7]
Bogdan A.
7-56-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Stearns P.
6-26-1
Cocciaretto E.
Samsonova L.[20]
7-646-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Badosa P.
7-56-1
R64
Jabeur O.[8]
Osorio C.
6-31-66-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Osaka N.[16]
7-611-67-5
Bouzkova M.[27]
Fett J.
6-26-2
Danilovic O.
Collins D.[11]
6-737-56-4
Paquet C.
Siniakova K.[32]
3-67-627-66
Vekic D.
Kostyuk M.[15]
7-56-4
Vondrousova M.[5]
Volynets K.
0-66-16-4
Gauff C.[4]
Zidansek T.[22]
6-36-4
Yastremska D.[30]
Wang Y.
6-26-0
Samsonova L.[20]
Anisimova A.[6]
6-26-1
Tauson C.[21]
Ostapenko J.[29]
7-644-66-3
Kenin S.
Garcia C.[21]
6-36-3
Zheng Q.[7]
Korpatsch T.
6-26-2
Andreescu B.[25]
Kalinskaya A.[22]
1-67-56-3
Avanesyan E.
Blinkova A.
6-36-0
Bogdan A.
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
6-46-4
Paolini J.[13]
Baptiste H.[26]
6-47-66
Gracheva V.
Pera B.
6-16-3
Stearns P.
Kasatkina D.[10]
7-56-2
Begu I.
Noskova L.[12]
6-46-2
Andreeva M.[8]
Azarenka V.[19]
6-33-67-5
Badosa P.
Putintseva Y.
4-66-17-5
Sabalenka A.[1]
Uchijima M.
6-26-2
Keys M.[19]
Sherif M.
6-07-67
Navarro E.[22]
Errani S.
6-27-5
Cocciaretto E.
Bucsa C.[31]
6-16-4
Wang X.
Tomova V.
7-55-76-1
Mertens E.[23]
Martic P.
6-46-3
Rybakina E.[2]
Rus A.
6-36-4
Fernandez L.[24]
Wang X.[32]
6-36-4
Svitolina E.[7]
Parry D.
6-47-63
Potapova A.[28]
Golubic V.
6-26-2
R128
Vekic D.
Tsurenko L.
6-5
Zheng Q.[7]
Cornet A.
6-26-1
Svitolina E.[7]
Pliskova K.[20]
3-66-46-2
Rus A.
Kerber A.
6-46-3
Uchijima M.
Burillo Escorihuela I.
6-16-1
Sherif M.
Yuan Y.[10]
6-16-3
Osaka N.[16]
Bronzetti L.
6-14-67-5
Martic P.
Mladenovic K.
6-46-4
Avanesyan E.
Zhu L.
6-26-4
Navarro E.[22]
Sonmez Z.
6-26-0
Paquet C.
Shnaider D.[25]
6-36-1
Golubic V.
Krejcikova B.[24]
7-636-4
Stearns P.
Ciric Bagaric L.
6-36-787-66
Yastremska D.[30]
Tomljanovic A.
3-66-36-3
Garcia C.[21]
Lys E.
4-67-56-2
Blinkova A.
Cirstea S.[18]
6-33-67-65
Mertens E.[23]
Carle M.
6-37-68
Gracheva V.
Sakkari M.[6]
3-66-46-3
Danilovic O.
Trevisan M.
6-16-2
Siniakova K.[32]
Galfi D.
7-57-63
Kostyuk M.[15]
Pigossi L.
7-56-746-4
Volynets K.
Krunic A.
7-646-2
Vondrousova M.[5]
Masarova R.
6-16-3
Zidansek T.[22]
Van Uytvanck A.
6-22-66-1
Cocciaretto E.
Haddad Maia B.[13]
3-66-46-1
Kenin S.
Siegemund L.
4-66-26-2
Wang X.[32]
Bai Z.
7-56-746-3
Osorio C.
Kalinina A.
3-67-624-1
Jabeur O.[8]
Vickery S.
6-36-2
Korpatsch T.
Krueger A.
4-66-47-69
Parry D.
Ferro F.
3-66-36-3
Bogdan A.
Jacquemot E.
6-16-3
Pera B.
Hibino N.
6-26-0
Rybakina E.[2]
Minnen G.
6-26-3
Azarenka V.[19]
Podoroska N.
6-16-0
Keys M.[19]
Zarazua R.
6-36-2
Errani S.
Schmiedlova A.
6-36-2
Badosa P.
Boulter K.[26]
4-67-56-4
Putintseva Y.
Stephens S.
6-16-2
Begu I.
Riera J.
6-26-2
Pavlyuchenkova A.[20]
Udvardy P.
6-36-4
Kasatkina D.[10]
Frech M.
7-56-1
Anisimova A.[6]
Sramkova R.
7-666-4
Paolini J.[13]
Saville D.
6-36-4
Fett J.
Bouzas Maneiro J.
6-23-67-5
Wang X.
Niemeier J.
0-66-26-4
Collins D.[11]
Dolehide C.
6-36-4
Tomova V.
Alexandrova E.[14]
6-37-65
Wang Y.
Timofeeva M.[24]
6-36-3
Bucsa C.[31]
Starodubtseva Y.
6-46-1
Ostapenko J.[29]
Cristian J.
6-47-5
Tauson C.[21]
Maria T.
6-26-3
Fernandez L.[24]
Ponchet J.
6-26-0
Kalinskaya A.[22]
Burel C.
7-637-5
Andreescu B.[25]
Sorribes Tormo S.
7-56-1
Andreeva M.[8]
Bektas E.
6-26-3
Swiatek I.[3]
Jeanjean L.
6-16-2
Sabalenka A.[1]
Andreeva E.
6-16-2
Gauff C.[4]
Avdeeva J.
6-16-1
Baptiste H.[26]
Day K.
4-66-26-2
Noskova L.[12]
Dart H.
7-636-4
Bouzkova M.[27]
Kudermetova V.[29]
6-26-4
Samsonova L.[20]
Linette M.
6-16-1
Potapova A.[28]
Rakhimova K.
6-26-3