Camilo Ugo Carabelli vs Roman Andres BurruchagaRosario CH Final

Rosario CH · CHALLENGER · Final
#58ATP
1759ELO
1741Clay ELO
$653kYTD
$2.7MCAREER
27 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 2 February 2026
clay
#67ATP
1711ELO
1694Clay ELO
$446kYTD
$1.2MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLWLW
Ugo Carabelli C.
6-2 6-3
Burruchaga R.
Ugo Carabelli C.
662
Burruchaga R.
230

Camilo Ugo Carabelli defeated Roman Andres Burruchaga 6-2 6-3 in the Rosario CH final on clay. The result followed the form book — Camilo Ugo Carabelli came in ranked #58, defending the title. Camilo Ugo Carabelli claimed a first win over Roman Andres Burruchaga in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-02-16Rio de JaneiroR32clayRoman Andres Burruchaga6-3 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Ugo Carabelli C.serving62% hold

wins 55% of points on serve vs Burruchaga R.

Burruchaga R.serving76% hold

wins 61% of points on serve vs Ugo Carabelli C.

Serve advantage — Burruchaga R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Ugo Carabelli C.Burruchaga R.
24
Serve
36
Return

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
60%
63%
1st serve points won·Even
69%
68%
2nd serve points won·Even
48%
50%
Service points won·Even
61%
61%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
43%
Break points saved·Slight edge
59%
65%
Aces / match·Even
2.8
2.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.4
3.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (26 vs 30). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
78
67
Break points saved·Clear edge
90
68
Break points won·Slight edge
62
73
Deciding sets·Clear edge
96
84
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
72
65

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
5.1+47 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
4.9Clay Elo 1694
5.0Overall Elo 1759
ELO gap
5.0Overall Elo 1711
2.8
H2H
7.2
6.4
Surface form
7.1
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
8.6
Minutes 14d
8.4
7.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
6.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
100
94

Ugo Carabelli C.: 15 days rest · Burruchaga R.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 18 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast