Luca Nardi vs Otto VirtanenManama CH Semi-final

Manama CH · CHALLENGER · Semi-final
#166ATP
1585ELO
1572Hard ELO
$213kYTD
$2.4MCAREER
22 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWWLLWL
2 — 0
Sets
Tuesday, 27 January 2026
hard
#140ATP
1706ELO
1674Hard ELO
$214kYTD
$1.5MCAREER
25 yrs · 193 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWWWLWWW
Nardi L.
7-6 6-2
Virtanen O.
Nardi L.
7862
Virtanen O.
6620

Luca Nardi defeated Otto Virtanen 7-6 6-2 in the Manama CH semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Otto Virtanen came in ranked #140, leading the head-to-head 1–0. Luca Nardi claimed a first win over Otto Virtanen in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Luca Nardi closed it out in two sets, 7–6 6–2.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-06-24WimbledonSFgrassOtto Virtanen4-6 4-6

Serve vs return

This season
Nardi L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Virtanen O.

Virtanen O.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Nardi L.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
60%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
67%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
53%
Service points won·Slight edge
61%
66%
Return points won·Even
39%
36%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
68%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.3
8.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
3.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (22 vs 23). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
32
48
Break points saved·Even
92
94
Break points won·Clear edge
15
3
Deciding sets·Clear edge
42
57
Tiebreaks·Dominant
18
85

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.9Hard Elo 1572
Surface ELO
6.1+102 Hard Elo edge
3.9Overall Elo 1585
ELO gap
6.1Overall Elo 1706
5.0
H2H
5.0
1.7
Surface form
5.7
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
8.2
Minutes 14d
8.8
7.0
3-set count
7.0
6.0
Prev. match
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
86
73

Nardi L.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 22 games (7d) · Virtanen O.: 1 day rest · 1 match, 23 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast