

Tomas Machac defeated Tommy Paul 2-6 6-3 6-3 in the Adelaide semi-final on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Tommy Paul came in ranked #25, defending last year's semi-final. Tomas Machac extended the head-to-head to 3–1.
| Date | Tournament | Round | Surface | Winner | Score |
|---|---|---|---|---|---|
| 2025-05-07 | Rome Masters | R32 | clay | Tommy Paul | 6-3 6-7(5) 6-4 |
| 2024-10-02 | Shanghai Masters | R16 | hard | Tomas Machac | 3-6 6-4 6-3 |
| 2024-09-25 | Tokyo | R16 | hard | Tomas Machac | 2-6 6-3 7-6(4) |
Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About
Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About
Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (20 vs 25). ATP, WTA & Challenger.
The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.