Luciano Darderi vs Alejandro TabiloAuckland Round of 16

Auckland · ATP · Round of 16
#16ATP
1835ELO
1678Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 12 January 2026
hard
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
Darderi L.
1-6 7-5 6-3
Tabilo A.
Darderi L.
1762
Tabilo A.
6531

Luciano Darderi defeated Alejandro Tabilo 1-6 7-5 6-3 in the Auckland round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Alejandro Tabilo came in leading the head-to-head 2–1, defending last year's round of 16. Luciano Darderi narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-09-17ChengduR16hardAlejandro Tabilo6-4 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardLuciano Darderi6-3 7-6(5)
2024-02-26SantiagoQFclayAlejandro Tabilo6-0 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Darderi L.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Tabilo A.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Serve advantage — Tabilo A.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Darderi L.Tabilo A.
21
Serve
51
31
Return
10

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
57%
64%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
50%
53%
Service points won·Even
63%
67%
Return points won·Even
39%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
56%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
6.4
5.3
Double faults / match·Clear edge
2.5
1.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (23 vs 38). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
78
74
Break points saved·Even
94
97
Break points won·Slight edge
50
59
Deciding sets·Even
93
91
Tiebreaks·Dominant
94
56

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.5
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 71 days (−1.2)
6.9
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
3.6Hard Elo 1678
Surface ELO
6.4+72 Hard Elo edge
4.1Overall Elo 1835
ELO gap
5.9Overall Elo 1819
4.6
H2H
5.4
2.2
Surface form
6.4
0.0Lost last 5
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Minutes 14d
6.1
3-set count
0.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
97
97

Darderi L.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Tabilo A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
24°CDrizzle
Wind 25 km/hHumidity 64%