Alejandro Tabilo vs Luciano DarderiChengdu Round of 16

Chengdu · ATP · Round of 16
#33ATP
1819ELO
1750Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$5.8MCAREER
29 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Wednesday, 17 September 2025
hard
#16ATP
1835ELO
1678Hard ELO
$1.3MYTD
$4.7MCAREER
24 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWLWLWWLW
Tabilo A.
6-4 6-3
Darderi L.
Tabilo A.
662
Darderi L.
430

Alejandro Tabilo defeated Luciano Darderi 6-4 6-3 in the Chengdu round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Luciano Darderi came in ranked #16, leading the head-to-head 2–1, but Alejandro Tabilo had arrived on a 4-match winning run. Alejandro Tabilo narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-12AucklandR16hardLuciano Darderi1-6 7-5 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersR64hardLuciano Darderi6-3 7-6(5)
2024-02-26SantiagoQFclayAlejandro Tabilo6-0 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Tabilo A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Darderi L.

Darderi L.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Tabilo A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Tabilo A.Darderi L.
51
Serve
21
10
Return
31

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
58%
1st serve points won·Even
73%
72%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
65%
64%
Return points won·Even
37%
38%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
60%
Aces / match·Even
5.8
5.8
Double faults / match·Clear edge
1.7
2.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (86 vs 89). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
74
78
Break points saved·Even
97
94
Break points won·Slight edge
59
50
Deciding sets·Even
91
93
Tiebreaks·Dominant
56
94

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.1
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+72 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1678
5.9Overall Elo 1819
ELO gap
4.1Overall Elo 1835
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.6
Surface form
2.4
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
9.06-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
5.5
Minutes 14d
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
9.0
Surface transition
6.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
97

Tabilo A.: 11 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Darderi L.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast