Rafael Jodar vs Nicolas Jarry — Canberra CH Round of 32

Canberra CH · CHALLENGER · Round of 32
Rafael Jodar
ESP
Rafael Jodar
#26ATP
1999ELO
1873Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$1.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 191 cm
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
Nicolas Jarry
CHI
Nicolas Jarry
#211ATP
1648ELO
1574Hard ELO
$70kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
30 yrs · 201 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLLLL
Jodar R.
6-3 6-4
Jarry N.
Jodar R.
662
Jarry N.
340

Rafael Jodar defeated Nicolas Jarry 6-3 6-4 in the Canberra CH round of 32 on hard. The result followed the form book — Rafael Jodar came in ranked #26.

Key context

  • Match story: Rafael Jodar closed it out in two sets, 6–3 6–4.

Head to head

No previous meetings on record.

Serve vs return

This season
Jodar R.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Jarry N.

Jarry N.serving81% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Jodar R.

Serve advantage — Jodar R.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Jodar R.Jarry N.
18
Serve
—
44
Return
—

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
Jodar R.Jarry N.
1st serve in·Slight edge
64%
71%
1st serve points won·Even
72%
73%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
55%
50%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
41%
35%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
54%
Aces / match·Dominant
4.2
8.2
Double faults / match·Even
1.2
1.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (38 vs 11). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Jodar R.Jarry N.
Clutch Rating·Dominant
86
48
Break points saved·Slight edge
91
98
Break points won·Dominant
71
4
Deciding sets·Dominant
100
57
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
93
79

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Jodar R.
7.9
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
Jarry N.
2.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 98 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
8.6+299 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
1.4Hard Elo 1574
9.1Overall Elo 1999
ELO gap
0.9Overall Elo 1648
5.0No prior meetings
H2H
5.0
8.1
Surface form
2.5
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
9.0
Prev. match
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Jodar R.Jarry N.
Freshness·
79
—

Jodar R.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Final
Blockx A.[6]
Jodar R.
6-46-4
Semi-finals
Blockx A.[6]
Mccabe J.
6-36-736-3
Jodar R.
Jacquet K.
6-30-0
Quarter-finals
Jodar R.
Shimabukuro S.
6-26-4
Jacquet K.
Lajovic D.[8]
7-627-5
Blockx A.[6]
Kopriva V.[1]
7-55-76-4
Mccabe J.
Barrios Vera T.[4]
6-17-65
R16
Kopriva V.[1]
Klein L.
7-617-61
Jacquet K.
Galan D.
6-26-4
Shimabukuro S.
Rodesch C.
7-657-63
Mccabe J.
Pinnington Jones J.
6-47-64
Blockx A.[6]
Carballes Baena R.
7-683-67-5
Barrios Vera T.[4]
Blanchet U.
6-766-37-64
Lajovic D.[8]
Engel J.
6-47-64
Jodar R.
Faria J.
6-16-4
R32
Pinnington Jones J.
Holt B.[5]
6-46-2
Engel J.
Mejia N.
7-661-67-66
Shimabukuro S.
Winter E.
6-46-1
Rodesch C.
Nardi L.[2]
7-646-2
Kopriva V.[1]
Nishikori K.
6-12-2
Mccabe J.
Lajal M.
7-637-68
Galan D.
Neumayer L.
7-57-5
Blanchet U.
Rocha H.
6-36-4
Lajovic D.[8]
Ofner S.
6-36-2
Klein L.
Cassone M.
4-67-56-3
Carballes Baena R.
Smith C.
7-646-3
Blockx A.[6]
Budkov Kjaer N.
6-26-3
Barrios Vera T.[4]
Sekulic P.
6-46-4
Jacquet K.
Nishioka Y.[3]
2-66-17-5
Faria J.
Moller E.[7]
6-16-3
Jodar R.
Jarry N.
6-36-4