Alexander Bublik vs Botic Van De Zandschulp — Hong Kong Round of 16

Hong Kong · ATP · Round of 16
KAZ
Alexander Bublik
[2]
#10ATP
1920ELO
1852Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$12MCAREER
28 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLWWLWLLLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 5 January 2026
hard
NED
Botic Van De Zandschulp
#55ATP
1758ELO
1718Hard ELO
$537kYTD
$6.4MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLWLWW

Alexander Bublik defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-3 in the Hong Kong round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #10. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
Bublik A.
4.9
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Van De Zandschulp B.
4.0
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 64 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
6.7+134 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Hard Elo 1718
7.0Overall Elo 1920
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1758
0.0
H2H
10.0
6.0
Surface form
3.8
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Bublik A.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
330

Head to head

1–2
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-07-21KitzbuhelSFclayAlexander Bublik6-3 6-4
2024-10-21BaselR32hardBotic Van De Zandschulp3-6 6-4 4-0 RET
2022-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: KAZ vs NEDRRhardBotic Van De Zandschulp3-6 6-1 6-4
View full head-to-head →

Statistics

Recent form
Bublik A.Van De Zandschulp B.
64%1st serve in+1%63%
75%1st serve points won+2%73%
52%2nd serve points won+4%48%
67%Service points won+3%64%
33%Return points won+5%38%
65%Break points saved+5%60%
9.7Aces / match+3.36.4
3.2Double faults / match+1.14.3

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (20 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Draw

Final
Bublik A.[2]
Musetti L.[1]
7-626-3
Semi-finals
Bublik A.[2]
Giron M.
3-66-46-2
Musetti L.[1]
Rublev A.[3]
6-737-56-4
Quarter-finals
Giron M.
Mmoh M.
6-31-0
Musetti L.[1]
Wong C.
6-46-4
Bublik A.[2]
Shang J.
6-17-62
Rublev A.[3]
Borges N.[8]
6-36-4
R16
Bublik A.[2]
Van De Zandschulp B.
6-36-3
Wong C.
Diallo G.[6]
1-67-57-5
Shang J.
Sonego L.[5]
6-36-4
Rublev A.[3]
Wu Y.
3-66-26-1
Mmoh M.
Khachanov K.[4]
7-627-64
Giron M.
Muller A.[7]
6-47-64
Borges N.[8]
Cilic M.
7-56-3
Musetti L.[1]
Etcheverry T.
6-736-26-4
R32
Giron M.
Djere L.
6-26-0
Diallo G.[6]
De Jong J.
6-47-67
Borges N.[8]
Dzumhur D.
6-46-3
Muller A.[7]
Kecmanovic M.
7-56-4
Mmoh M.
Tabilo A.
7-56-4
Wu Y.
Marozsan F.
6-46-2
Wong C.
Navone M.
6-37-5
Etcheverry T.
Royer V.
6-47-5
Shang J.
Comesana F.
6-46-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Struff J.
6-31-66-1
Cilic M.
Mannarino A.
6-36-2
Sonego L.[5]
Sakamoto R.
6-27-64