Alexander Bublik vs Botic Van De ZandschulpKitzbuhel Semi-final

Kitzbuhel · ATP · Semi-final
#11ATP
1889ELO
1822Clay ELO
$1.2MYTD
$12MCAREER
29 yrs · 196 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWLLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 21 July 2025
clay
#54ATP
1743ELO
1690Clay ELO
$690kYTD
$6.6MCAREER
30 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWLLLLLW
Bublik A.
6-3 6-4
Van De Zandschulp B.
Bublik A.
662
Van De Zandschulp B.
340

Alexander Bublik defeated Botic Van De Zandschulp 6-3 6-4 in the Kitzbuhel semi-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Alexander Bublik came in ranked #11. Alexander Bublik narrowed the head-to-head to 2–2.

Key context

Head to head

12
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-05Hong KongR16hardAlexander Bublik6-3 6-3
2024-10-21BaselR32hardBotic Van De Zandschulp3-6 6-4 4-0 RET
2022-09-13Davis Cup Finals RR: KAZ vs NEDRRhardBotic Van De Zandschulp3-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Bublik A.serving82% hold

wins 64% of points on serve vs Van De Zandschulp B.

Van De Zandschulp B.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Bublik A.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Bublik A.Van De Zandschulp B.
55
Serve
33
51
Return
74

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
61%
1st serve points won·Even
77%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
48%
Service points won·Even
67%
64%
Return points won·Even
35%
39%
Break points saved·Slight edge
67%
58%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.9
6.1
Double faults / match·Even
4.5
4.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (91 vs 78). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
88
77
Break points saved·Even
99
98
Break points won·Even
67
68
Deciding sets·Clear edge
99
78
Tiebreaks·Clear edge
96
81

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.0
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.9
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.0+132 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.0Clay Elo 1690
7.0Overall Elo 1889
ELO gap
3.0Overall Elo 1743
5.0
H2H
5.0
8.7
Surface form
4.6
7.04-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.7
Minutes 14d
5.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Clear edge
70
89

Bublik A.: 6 days rest · 1 match, 33 games (7d) · Van De Zandschulp B.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast
Weather
18°CRain
Wind 9 km/hHumidity 96%