Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoeBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 16
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Medvedev D.
6-3 6-2
Tiafoe F.
Medvedev D.
662
Tiafoe F.
320

Daniil Medvedev defeated Frances Tiafoe 6-3 6-2 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–2. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardFrances Tiafoe3-6 6-4 [10-5]
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersSFhardDaniil Medvedev7-5 7-6(4)
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2020-08-31US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1 6-0
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2
2019-07-29WashingtonR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-5
2015-05-17NiceQ2clayFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving87% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve advantage — Medvedev D.

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Tiafoe F.
47
Serve
38
94
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
67%
62%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Slight edge
42%
36%
Break points saved·Even
64%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.4
6.8
Double faults / match·Dominant
3.6
1.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (27 vs 24). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.0
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 69 days (−1.2)
3.7
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 95 days (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
6.6+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1861
6.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1918
4.6
H2H
5.4
8.0
Surface form
3.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 4
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Country comfort
5.8
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
82
72

Medvedev D.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 55 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%