Daniil Medvedev vs Frances TiafoeIndian Wells Masters Semi-final

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Semi-final
#9ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#19ATP
1918ELO
1861Hard ELO
$1.9MYTD
$18MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWLW
Medvedev D.
7-5 7-6
Tiafoe F.
Medvedev D.
7772
Tiafoe F.
5640

Daniil Medvedev defeated Frances Tiafoe 7-5 7-6 in the Indian Wells Masters semi-final on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #9, leading the head-to-head 5–2, defending last year's round of 32. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 6–2.

Key context

Head to head

52
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 6-2
2024-09-20Laver CupRRhardFrances Tiafoe3-6 6-4 [10-5]
2021-03-22Miami MastersR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3
2020-08-31US OpenR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-1 6-0
2020-01-20Australian OpenR128hardDaniil Medvedev6-3 4-6 6-4 6-2
2019-07-29WashingtonR16hardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-5
2015-05-17NiceQ2clayFrances Tiafoe6-3 6-2

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Tiafoe F.

Tiafoe F.serving83% hold

wins 65% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Tiafoe F.
47
Serve
38
94
Return
37

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
59%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Even
49%
53%
Service points won·Even
65%
66%
Return points won·Even
40%
36%
Break points saved·Even
62%
63%
Aces / match·Even
7.6
8.0
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
2.4

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 190). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Clear edge
96
83
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
57
Deciding sets·Slight edge
99
92
Tiebreaks·Even
99
98

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.6
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.6+101 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.4Hard Elo 1861
6.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
3.6Overall Elo 1918
10.0
H2H
0.0
10.0
Surface form
6.7
10.014-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.9
Minutes 14d
7.1
7.0
3-set count
9.0
Prev. match
8.0
6.1
Country comfort
6.9
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
85
76

Medvedev D.: 9 days rest · 3 matches (14d) · Tiafoe F.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%
Semi-finals
Alcaraz C.[1]
Sinner J.[11]
7-646-3
Medvedev D.[5]
Tiafoe F.[14]
7-57-64