Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon NakashimaBrisbane Final

Brisbane · ATP · Final
#8ATP
2008ELO
1978Hard ELO
$2.3MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
LLWWWLWWLL
2 — 0
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#35ATP
1803ELO
1770Hard ELO
$612kYTD
$7.5MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10
WWLWLLWLWL

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.6
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
  • Injury return: 69 days (−1.2)
3.1
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
7.5+208 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1770
7.4Overall Elo 2008
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1803
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.0
Surface form
3.4
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
6.5
Country comfort
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Medvedev D.
6772
Nakashima B.
2610

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
1.27
SlowFast

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-1 6-4
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR64hardDaniil Medvedev6-4 6-3

Statistics

Recent form
67%1st serve in+1%68%
75%1st serve points won+2%77%
50%2nd serve points won+3%53%
67%Service points won+2%69%
40%Return points won+6%34%
65%Break points saved+12%53%
5.9Aces / match+4.110
2.8Double faults / match+20.8

Averages from each player's recent completed matches (19 vs 20). ATP, WTA & Challenger.