Daniil Medvedev vs Brandon NakashimaIndian Wells Masters Round of 64

Indian Wells Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#8ATP
1977ELO
1962Hard ELO
$2.5MYTD
$52MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLWWLWWL
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 6 March 2023
hard
#32ATP
1839ELO
1788Hard ELO
$990kYTD
$7.9MCAREER
24 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWLWWWLWWL
Medvedev D.
6-4 6-3
Nakashima B.
Medvedev D.
662
Nakashima B.
430

Daniil Medvedev defeated Brandon Nakashima 6-4 6-3 in the Indian Wells Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Daniil Medvedev came in ranked #8, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's round of 32. Daniil Medvedev extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneFhardDaniil Medvedev6-2 7-6(1)
2025-04-23Madrid MastersR16clayDaniil Medvedev3-6 6-1 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Medvedev D.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Nakashima B.

Nakashima B.serving86% hold

wins 67% of points on serve vs Medvedev D.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Medvedev D.Nakashima B.
47
Serve
61
94
Return
23

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
63%
66%
1st serve points won·Even
75%
75%
2nd serve points won·Slight edge
49%
54%
Service points won·Even
65%
68%
Return points won·Slight edge
40%
35%
Break points saved·Even
62%
66%
Aces / match·Slight edge
7.6
8.5
Double faults / match·Dominant
4.5
1.2

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (198 vs 199). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
96
56
Break points saved·Even
100
99
Break points won·Dominant
99
13
Deciding sets·Dominant
99
64
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
99
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.5
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
6.1
Even matchUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.5+175 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.5Hard Elo 1788
7.4Overall Elo 1977
ELO gap
2.6Overall Elo 1839
5.0
H2H
5.0
10.0
Surface form
5.5
10.014-match win streak
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
0.9
Minutes 14d
8.1
7.0
3-set count
7.0
9.0
Prev. match
7.0
6.1
Country comfort
6.5
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
90
90

Medvedev D.: 11 days rest · 2 matches (14d) · Nakashima B.: 12 days rest · 2 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-slowfavours grinders
SlowFast
Weather
18°COvercast
Wind 8 km/hHumidity 33%