Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Cameron NorrieBrisbane Round of 16

Brisbane · ATP · Round of 16
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Sunday, 4 January 2026
hard
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Kovacevic A.
7-6 4-6 6-4
Norrie C.
Kovacevic A.
77462
Norrie C.
64641

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Cameron Norrie 7-6 4-6 6-4 in the Brisbane round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #29. Aleksandar Kovacevic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-07-31Los CabosR16hardAleksandar Kovacevic5-7 7-6(7) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving91% hold

wins 71% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Norrie C.
52
Serve
45
0
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
62%
63%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
77%
69%
2nd serve points won·Even
54%
54%
Service points won·Even
68%
64%
Return points won·Slight edge
32%
37%
Break points saved·Slight edge
62%
67%
Aces / match·Dominant
10.6
5.3
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.9
2.5

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (28 vs 22). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
89
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
4
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
60
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
3.8
Heavy underdogUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
5.6
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 63 days (−1.2)
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
7.6+178 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1829
10.0
H2H
0.0
3.8
Surface form
7.5
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
Country comfort
5.4
Context
5.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
96
94

Kovacevic A.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Norrie C.: 13 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
29°COvercast
Wind 1 km/hHumidity 56%