Aleksandar Kovacevic vs Cameron NorrieLos Cabos Round of 16

Los Cabos · ATP · Round of 16
#70ATP
1636ELO
1611Hard ELO
$627kYTD
$2.9MCAREER
27 yrs · 183 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLWLLLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 31 July 2023
hard
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
Kovacevic A.
5-7 7-6 6-4
Norrie C.
Kovacevic A.
57962
Norrie C.
76741

Aleksandar Kovacevic defeated Cameron Norrie 5-7 7-6 6-4 in the Los Cabos round of 16 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #29, defending last year's final. Aleksandar Kovacevic extended the head-to-head to 2–0.

Key context

Head to head

10
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-01-04BrisbaneR16hardAleksandar Kovacevic7-6(4) 4-6 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Kovacevic A.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Norrie C.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Kovacevic A.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Kovacevic A.Norrie C.
52
Serve
45
0
Return
34

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
60%
65%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
76%
71%
2nd serve points won·Even
51%
52%
Service points won·Even
66%
64%
Return points won·Even
34%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
65%
Aces / match·Dominant
9.3
5.1
Double faults / match·Clear edge
3.3
2.3

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 193). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Dominant
53
89
Break points saved·Even
96
99
Break points won·Dominant
4
83
Deciding sets·Clear edge
81
98
Tiebreaks·Dominant
61
89

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.4
Clear underdogUmpiry Score
7.0
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
  • Extended break: 28 days (−0.3)
Form & Matchup
2.4Hard Elo 1611
Surface ELO
7.6+178 Hard Elo edge
1.8Overall Elo 1636
ELO gap
8.2Overall Elo 1829
5.0
H2H
5.0
6.2
Surface form
6.6
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
9.3
Minutes 14d
9.0
Prev. match
6.0
7.0
Surface transition
7.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
93

Kovacevic A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Norrie C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Mediumbalanced pace
SlowFast