Karen Khachanov vs Joao FonsecaParis Masters Round of 32

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 32
#22ATP
1828ELO
1783Hard ELO
$1.1MYTD
$23MCAREER
30 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWLWL
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#27ATP
1928ELO
1914Hard ELO
$1.2MYTD
$3.9MCAREER
19 yrs · 185 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWLLWWWWL
Khachanov K.
6-1 3-6 6-3
Fonseca J.
Khachanov K.
6362
Fonseca J.
1631

Karen Khachanov defeated Joao Fonseca 6-1 3-6 6-3 in the Paris Masters round of 32 on hard. Karen Khachanov claimed a first win over Joao Fonseca in two meetings, narrowing the head-to-head to 1–1.

Key context

  • Match story: Karen Khachanov closed it out in three sets, 6–1 3–6 6–3.

Head to head

01
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersR64hardJoao Fonseca4-6 7-6(7) 6-4

Serve vs return

This season
Khachanov K.serving88% hold

wins 68% of points on serve vs Fonseca J.

Fonseca J.serving89% hold

wins 69% of points on serve vs Khachanov K.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Khachanov K.Fonseca J.
61
Serve
47
39
Return
38

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
64%
67%
1st serve points won·Even
74%
73%
2nd serve points won·Even
53%
54%
Service points won·Even
66%
66%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
64%
62%
Aces / match·Clear edge
7.3
5.7
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.9

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (71 vs 64). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
86
76
Break points saved·Even
99
97
Break points won·Dominant
81
43
Deciding sets·Slight edge
83
89
Tiebreaks·Even
92
96

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
5.8
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
  • Recent retirement (−1.5)
Form & Matchup
3.4Hard Elo 1783
Surface ELO
6.6+131 Hard Elo edge
3.8Overall Elo 1828
ELO gap
6.2Overall Elo 1928
5.0
H2H
5.0
3.2
Surface form
9.1
0.0Lost last 4
Win streak
9.05-match win streak
Fatigue & Travel
7.4
Minutes 14d
5.0
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Country comfort
Context
8.5
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Slight edge
77
88

Khachanov K.: 7 days rest · 1 match, 48 games (7d) · Fonseca J.: 8 days rest · 3 matches (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%