Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian BaezParis Masters Round of 64

Paris Masters · ATP · Round of 64
#38ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 0
Sets
Monday, 27 October 2025
hard
#56ATP
1759ELO
1709Hard ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Norrie C.
6-3 6-4
Baez S.
Norrie C.
662
Baez S.
340

Cameron Norrie defeated Sebastian Baez 6-3 6-4 in the Paris Masters round of 64 on hard. The result followed the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #38, leading the head-to-head 2–0. Cameron Norrie extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-05-22LyonQFclayCameron Norrie6-2 2-6 6-1
2022-05-16LyonQFclayCameron Norrie6-4 4-6 7-5

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving78% hold

wins 62% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving80% hold

wins 63% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Baez S.
45
Serve
5
34
Return
63

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
63%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Slight edge
36%
41%
Break points saved·Slight edge
66%
59%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.1
1.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 79). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
83
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.4+80 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.6Hard Elo 1709
6.6Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
4.2
Surface form
2.9
0.0
Win streak
0.0Lost last 2
Fatigue & Travel
6.8
Minutes 14d
8.5
4.0
3-set count
7.0
Prev. match
9.0
5.3
Country comfort
Context
6.0
Defending pts
6.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
96

Norrie C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Medium-fastrewards aggression
SlowFast
Weather
13°CDrizzle
Wind 19 km/hHumidity 82%