Cameron Norrie vs Sebastian BaezLyon Quarter-final

Lyon · ATP · Quarter-final
#38ATP
1829ELO
1788Clay ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 16 May 2022
clay
#56ATP
1759ELO
1718Clay ELO
$924kYTD
$6.9MCAREER
25 yrs · 170 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWWWW
Norrie C.
6-4 4-6 7-5
Baez S.
Norrie C.
6472
Baez S.
4651

Cameron Norrie defeated Sebastian Baez 6-4 4-6 7-5 in the Lyon quarter-final on clay. The result followed the form book — Cameron Norrie came in ranked #38, leading the head-to-head 2–0, defending last year's final. Cameron Norrie extended the head-to-head to 3–0.

Key context

Head to head

20
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2025-10-27Paris MastersR64hardCameron Norrie6-3 6-4
2023-05-22LyonQFclayCameron Norrie6-2 2-6 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving74% hold

wins 60% of points on serve vs Baez S.

Baez S.serving72% hold

wins 59% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Even serve battle

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on clay

Norrie C.Baez S.
25
Serve
1
38
Return
44

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the clay field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
65%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
71%
64%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
52%
Service points won·Even
64%
60%
Return points won·Even
37%
40%
Break points saved·Slight edge
65%
60%
Aces / match·Dominant
5.2
2.0
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.3
1.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (200 vs 200). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
87
Break points saved·Even
99
96
Break points won·Even
83
86
Deciding sets·Slight edge
98
88
Tiebreaks·Slight edge
89
83

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
7.1
Strong advantageUmpiry Score
6.7
Slight advantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
6.7+70 Clay Elo edge
Surface ELO
3.3Clay Elo 1718
6.6Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
3.4Overall Elo 1759
5.0
H2H
5.0
5.3
Surface form
8.2
0.0
Win streak
0.0
Fatigue & Travel
3.7
Minutes 14d
5.2
0.0
3-set count
4.0
7.0
Prev. match
6.0
Context
Defending pts
5.0
5.0
Opponent rise

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
95
96

Norrie C.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Baez S.: 14 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Slowlow bounce, long rallies
SlowFast