Jannik Sinner vs Alexander ZverevVienna Final

Vienna · ATP · Final
#1ATP
2320ELO
2263Hard ELO
$6.9MYTD
$65MCAREER
24 yrs · 191 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
WWWWWWWLWW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#2ATP
2100ELO
2042Hard ELO
$6.5MYTD
$66MCAREER
29 yrs · 198 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LWWWWWWLWW
Sinner J.
3-6 6-3 7-5
Zverev A.
Sinner J.
3672
Zverev A.
6351

Jannik Sinner defeated Alexander Zverev 3-6 6-3 7-5 in the Vienna final on hard. The result followed the form book — Jannik Sinner came in ranked #1, leading the head-to-head 10–4. Jannik Sinner extended the head-to-head to 11–4.

Key context

Head to head

104
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2026-07-12WimbledonFgrassJannik Sinner6.7-7.9 7.7-6.2 6-3 6-4
2026-04-22Madrid MastersFclayJannik Sinner6-1 6-2
2026-04-05Monte Carlo MastersSFclayJannik Sinner6-1 6-4
2026-03-18Miami MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-3 7-6(4)
2026-03-04Indian Wells MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-2 6-4
2025-11-09Tour FinalsRRhardJannik Sinner6-4 6-3
2025-10-27Paris MastersSFhardJannik Sinner6-0 6-1
2025-01-13Australian OpenFhardJannik Sinner6-3 7-6(4) 6-3
2024-08-12Cincinnati MastersSFhardJannik Sinner7-6(9) 5-7 7-6(4)
2023-08-28US OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 3-6 6-2 4-6 6-3
2022-04-11Monte Carlo MastersQFclayAlexander Zverev5-7 6-3 7-6(5)
2021-08-30US OpenR16hardAlexander Zverev6-4 6-4 7-6(7)
2020-10-19Cologne 2SFhardAlexander Zverev7-6(3) 6-3
2020-09-28Roland GarrosR16clayJannik Sinner6-3 6-3 4-6 6-3

Serve vs return

This season
Sinner J.serving93% hold

wins 73% of points on serve vs Zverev A.

Zverev A.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Sinner J.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Sinner J.Zverev A.
100
Serve
71
100
Return
42

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Slight edge
63%
72%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
80%
74%
2nd serve points won·Even
59%
55%
Service points won·Even
72%
69%
Return points won·Even
42%
38%
Break points saved·Clear edge
73%
60%
Aces / match·Even
7.2
7.8
Double faults / match·Slight edge
1.4
1.7

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (94 vs 110). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Slight edge
100
94
Break points saved·Even
100
100
Break points won·Slight edge
100
90
Deciding sets·Even
100
99
Tiebreaks·Even
100
100

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
8.2
Dominant favouriteUmpiry Score
5.7
Slight disadvantageUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
7.9+222 Hard Elo edge
Surface ELO
2.1Hard Elo 2042
8.1Overall Elo 2320
ELO gap
1.9Overall Elo 2100
10.0
H2H
0.0
8.0
Surface form
5.8
0.0
Win streak
Fatigue & Travel
6.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
5.0
Defending pts
7.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
43
39

Sinner J.: 1 day rest · 3 matches, 109 games (7d) · Zverev A.: 1 day rest · 4 matches, 148 games (7d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%