Cameron Norrie vs Andrey RublevVienna Round of 32

Vienna · ATP · Round of 32
#29ATP
1829ELO
1789Hard ELO
$963kYTD
$15MCAREER
30 yrs · 188 cm · Left-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLLLLWWLW
2 — 1
Sets
Monday, 20 October 2025
hard
#13ATP
1902ELO
1849Hard ELO
$1.6MYTD
$34MCAREER
28 yrs · 188 cm · Right-handed
Last 10 · pre-match
LLLWWWLWWW
Norrie C.
6-2 6-7 6-2
Rublev A.
Norrie C.
66562
Rublev A.
27721

Cameron Norrie defeated Andrey Rublev 6-2 6-7 6-2 in the Vienna round of 32 on hard. The upset overturned the form book — Andrey Rublev came in ranked #13, leading the head-to-head 3–2. Cameron Norrie narrowed the head-to-head to 3–3.

Key context

  • Match story: Cameron Norrie closed it out in three sets, 6–2 6–7 6–2.

Head to head

23
DateTournamentRoundSurfaceWinnerScore
2023-09-27BeijingR32hardAndrey Rublev4-6 6-1 6-4
2023-03-06Indian Wells MastersR16hardCameron Norrie6-2 6-4
2022-08-29US OpenR16hardAndrey Rublev6-4 6-4 6-4
2021-09-27San DiegoSFhardCameron Norrie3-6 6-3 6-4
2020-10-12St PetersburgQFhardAndrey Rublev6-2 6-1

Serve vs return

This season
Norrie C.serving85% hold

wins 66% of points on serve vs Rublev A.

Rublev A.serving90% hold

wins 70% of points on serve vs Norrie C.

Serve-dominated — both hold easily, expect tiebreaks

Each player's serve crossed against the other's return, converted to expected hold of serve. Recent completed matches, ATP, WTA & Challenger. About

Serve & return on hard

Norrie C.Rublev A.
45
Serve
55
34
Return
52

Per-surface Serve / Return Rating (0–100, percentile within the hard field, opponent-adjusted over 52 weeks). About

Statistics

This season
1st serve in·Even
65%
61%
1st serve points won·Slight edge
70%
77%
2nd serve points won·Even
52%
51%
Service points won·Even
64%
67%
Return points won·Even
36%
37%
Break points saved·Even
66%
64%
Aces / match·Clear edge
5.0
7.5
Double faults / match·Slight edge
2.4
2.8

Averages over each player's completed matches in the selected window (84 vs 80). ATP, WTA & Challenger.

Clutch

Under pressure
Clutch Rating·Even
89
89
Break points saved·Even
99
100
Break points won·Slight edge
83
72
Deciding sets·Even
98
97
Tiebreaks·Even
89
92

Performance in the biggest moments — break points, deciding sets and tiebreaks (0–100, higher is better). About

Umpiry Score

Pre-match
6.2
Even matchUmpiry Score
6.4
Marginal edgeUmpiry Score
Form & Matchup
4.6Hard Elo 1789
Surface ELO
5.4+60 Hard Elo edge
4.8Overall Elo 1829
ELO gap
5.2Overall Elo 1902
4.6
H2H
5.4
4.0
Surface form
4.1
Win streak
0.0Lost last 3
Fatigue & Travel
7.0
Prev. match
8.0
Context
6.0
Defending pts
5.0

The Umpiry Score combines match-context factors — matchup, form, fatigue, travel and motivation — into a single 0–10 score, updated daily. Read how it works.

Freshness

Recent load
Freshness·Even
93
93

Norrie C.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d) · Rublev A.: 12 days rest · 1 match (14d). Higher means fresher. About

Conditions

Court speed
Fastbig serves, short points
SlowFast
Weather
10°CMainly clear
Wind 18 km/hHumidity 61%